Election Results: Overconfidence Kills Congress' Prospects. Will BJP Bring Back Experienced Faces As CMs?

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Election Results: Overconfidence Kills Congress’ Prospects. Will BJP Bring Back Experienced Faces As CMs?

| Updated: December 3, 2023 20:24

The BJP’s resounding victory in three key states has proven that the people have once again rejected the claims of Congress’ “Mohabbat ki dukan” and excessive confidence. 

While the Congress has reasons to be happy about Telangana, the party lost two important states, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh. It may be due to public anger against the governments or the result of Modi-magic. Amit Shah’s strategy of fielding sitting MPs in the assembly elections to harness their strong influence on the voter base, also worked wonders. Now, the paramount question is who would be the chief minister in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Chhattisgarh.

Media was flooded with constant reports in the media that the party’s central leadership is not happy with Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan. It was speculated that Shivraj Singh may be given a central role and there would be a new chief ministerial  face. It however, doesn’t seem to be the case.Though the party fought the election without a chief ministerial candidate face and preferred to rely on Modi’s face, but BJP can not ignore Shivraj Singh Chouhan any longer in view of the bumper victory Madhya Pradesh unit delivered.

Shivraj Singh Chouhan may not have won the last election under his leadership, but the way he formed his government again by seamlessly teaming with new entrant and another power centre, Jyotiraditya Scindia in a span of few months cannot be ignored by the BJP leadership. The popularity of “Mamaji”, the epithet by which the Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister is known among women constituents thanks to various welfare schemes his government launched recently can not be brushed aside either. It is clear that Shivraj Singh Chouhan’s claim to the throne is still the strongest at the moment, for yet another time. Although many probable names are doing rounds, but for the time being, it is expected that the party will once again crown Shivraj Singh Chouhan.

On the other hand, while talking about Rajasthan, it sounds difficult for the BJP to hand over power to anyone else other than Vasundhara Raje Scindia.In Rajasthan too, it was said in the media about Vasundhara being sidelined in the party and chose not to fight the election on her face. Not only that, the names of leaders  such as Diya Kumari and Gajendra Singh Shekhawat were being prompted. However, it would not be easy for the party leadership to sideline Vasundhara Raje as the chief minister. Questions have also been raised about Vasundhara’s attitude.  There have been rumours about her unpleasant political equation with Modi. To her credit, Vasundhara quietly continued her work. A large portion of the population would like to see the crown on Vasundhara’s head once again. Although the election was fought in the name of Modi,  Vasundhara Raje is a name to reckon with, with regard to Chief Ministership.

If we talk about Chhattisgarh, Bhupesh Baghel has fallen victim to overconfidence. The loss is indeed a shocking news for the Congress and especially for Bhupesh Baghel. But will it be easy for the BJP to choose the face of the chief minister here? Will Raman Singh be given the reins here again or will state BJP president Arun Saw or leader of the opposition Narayan Chandel be brought forward? The BJP leadership does not seem to be in any confusion about Raman Singh’s ability and experience. In such a situation, it still seems that the BJP may once again bring back Raman Singh as the chief minister.

In such a situation, of course, the same three time-tested faces are once again appearing as probable chief ministers. It is clear that keeping in mind the administrative experience  and the fact that the Lok Sabha elections are round the corner, the party will not consider it appropriate to take any risk. The BJP’s victory in these three states has proved that the path ahead is not easy for the Congress. In fact, the situation has worsened for Congress even within the INDIA Alliance. While Congress lost its ground in three important states by being victim of overconfidence, BJP, which has been working silently, achieved tremendous success.

If these results are any indication, it is clear that BJP is going to return to power with a strong majority in the 2024 parliamentary election. Neither the Congress nor the India Alliance is going to be a major challenge for BJP. This must be a major concern in the mind of Congress President Mallikarjun Kharge at this moment, one would presume.

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