The final result will be out on May 13 but the exit polls for the Karnataka Assembly elections are saying that the Congress is likely to edge out the BJP from the southern state. There is the anti-incumbency factor in a three-way fight between the BJP, the Congress, and the Janata Dal (Secular).
According to the India Today-Axis My India exit poll, the Congress is winning big in Karnataka. The party is projected to win 43% votes and is expected to win between 122 and 140 Assembly seats. The BJP is likely to receive 35% votes and win between 62 and 80 seats. While the BJP’s vote share is not expected to decline much compared to 2018, its seat share is expected to decline by more than 30.
The JD(S) is expected to win between 20 and 25 seats with 16% votes. The bulk of these seats are predicted to be from the Old Mysuru region.
The exit polls said that the Congress will have a 6% lead over the BJP across all regions except Coastal Karnataka, the smallest region of the state with 19 seats. The BJP is expected to win 16 seats of them with 50% votes, while the Congress is expected to win three with 40%.
If indeed the results are on these lines, it will be a huge boost to the beleaguered Congress, and its face Rahul Gandhi, who has been stripped of his Lok Sabha membership by the court in the Modi surname defamation case.
The exit poll says that the Congress will perform well in Hyderabad Karnataka, which is a Congress stronghold, and also in Old Mysuru, the biggest region in the state with 64 Assembly seats which is a JD(S) stronghold.
The poll has said that a fierce contest between the BJP and the Congress is on the cards in the capital city Bengaluru, Mumbai Karnataka, and Central Karnataka.
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